Germany remains a pivotal member of the European Union, both politically and economically. However, recent developments have introduced challenges that are influencing its economic landscape. The German government has revised its 2025 economic growth forecast downward to 0.3%, a significant decrease from the previously anticipated 1.1%. This adjustment reflects ongoing economic challenges, including high energy costs, increased competition, and elevated interest rates. The industrial sector, particularly manufacturing, has faced difficulties, with production levels remaining below pre-pandemic figures. Despite initiatives aimed at decarbonization and modernization, progress has been hindered by economic constraints and external competition.

Germany continues to maintain a robust international trade presence, with the combined value of exports and imports constituting a significant portion of its GDP. However, recent global trade tensions and potential tariff implementations pose risks to this trade-dependent economy. Government policies remain generally favorable toward foreign direct investment, but economic uncertainties and structural challenges have led to a cautious approach among investors. The financial sector continues to offer a diverse range of services, contributing to economic stability.

Germany’s economy is supported by a diverse and competitive landscape that encourages investment and entrepreneurial activities. The nation’s strengths in manufacturing and innovation, particularly in green technologies and defense equipment, provide a solid foundation for future growth. Discussions are ongoing regarding potential reforms to fiscal policies, including the constitutional “debt brake,” to accommodate increased spending in critical areas such as defense and infrastructure. These policy decisions are crucial as Germany navigates its economic trajectory amid internal and external challenges.

In summary, while Germany continues to play a central role in the EU’s political and economic spheres, it faces a period of economic adjustment. Strategic policy reforms and a focus on innovation and competitiveness will be essential to sustain its economic vitality in the coming years.

M&A Activity Volume

2024 Performance: The total number of M&A transactions involving German entities reached 2,752 by December 13, 2024, marking a 5.1% increase from the previous year. This positions 2024 as the second-best year for M&A in Germany over the past 25 years. 

Sector-Specific Insights

• Technology: The technology sector maintained its leading position, accounting for 24.6% of all transactions, despite a slight decline of 1.2% compared to the previous year.
• Industrial Machinery & Components: This sector represented 14.7% of transactions, experiencing a significant growth of 24.3% from the prior year.
• Consumer & Retail and Automotive: Both sectors saw impressive growth rates of 29.8% and 34.8%, respectively, indicating heightened investor interest. 

Cross-Border Transactions

In 2024, approximately 72% of German targets were acquired by non-German investors, underscoring Germany’s continued appeal to international buyers. 

Market Outlook for 2025

• Positive Sentiment: A significant majority of companies (85%) anticipate a more dynamic M&A market in 2025. Similarly, 91% of private equity firms expect an uptick in transaction activities.
• Strategic Focus: There is an increasing emphasis on sustainable growth and value creation, with companies leveraging M&A to adapt to technological advancements and ecological shifts.

Oaklins (2024) Oaklins Germany M&A Market Report 2024. Available at: https://www.oaklins.com/news/en-DE/245905-oaklins-germany-m-a-market-report-2024 (Accessed: 10 February 2025).

KPMG (2024) M&A Outlook 2025: Growth Perspectives in the German Market. Available at: https://kpmg.com/de/en/home/media/press-releases/2024/12/m-a-outlook-2025.html (Accessed: 10 February 2025).